Politics Polymarket scanner

Politics high-probability Polymarket markets.

Compare politics outcomes trading from 98¢ to 99.5¢ by APR, liquidity, volume and time to resolution. Review the category-specific risks below before trading.

142 found

Updated Jul 15, 10:15 AM

Operational

10 markets

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Politics - +$1.99 per $100 - liq 42.9K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score52 Risky
Ends13h 43mJul 15, 11:59 PM
Volume2.6M

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Politics - +$0.86 per $100 - liq 52.5K

OutcomeNo
Price99.2c
APR547.1%
Score52 Risky
Ends13h 43mJul 15, 11:59 PM
Volume561K

Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

Politics - +$2.09 per $100 - liq 16.9K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR486.0%
Score57 Risky
Ends1d 13hJul 16, 11:59 PM
Volume3K

Will Martin Schmierer win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

Politics - +$1.63 per $100 - liq 18.7K

OutcomeNo
Price98.4c
APR377.6%
Score57 Risky
Ends1d 13hJul 16, 11:59 PM
Volume1.4K

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Politics - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 12.4K

OutcomeYes
Price98.0c
APR289.6%
Score52 Risky
Ends2d 13hJul 17, 11:59 PM
Volume1.7K

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 16?

Politics - +$1.06 per $100 - liq 15K

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR246.4%
Score52 Risky
Ends1d 13hJul 16, 11:59 PM
Volume2.9K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Politics - +$1.63 per $100 - liq 103K

OutcomeNo
Price98.4c
APR230.8%
Score52 Risky
Ends2d 13hJul 17, 11:59 PM
Volume842.9K

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Politics - +$1.32 per $100 - liq 22.5K

OutcomeNo
Price98.7c
APR186.9%
Score52 Risky
Ends2d 13hJul 17, 11:59 PM
Volume69.5K

Will Marcus Howard Pearcey win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

Politics - +$0.76 per $100 - liq 15.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.3c
APR175.5%
Score57 Risky
Ends1d 13hJul 16, 11:59 PM
Volume2.5K

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 17, 2026?

Politics - +$0.70 per $100 - liq 5.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.3c
APR100.0%
Score52 Risky
Ends2d 13hJul 17, 11:59 PM
Volume1.1K

Politics betting guide

Politics prediction markets

Politics markets need careful reading because small wording differences can change the trade.

Updated July 15, 2026

What are Politics markets?

Politics markets track elections, nominations, government decisions, legislation, polling milestones, cabinet appointments, debates, and geopolitical events.

How to bet on Politics markets

Read the deadline, jurisdiction, and official source. Similar markets can settle differently depending on whether they use certified results, a news call, or a government announcement.

Outcome resolution

Political markets usually resolve from election bodies, government records, official statements, or major news sources listed in the market rules.

Fairness

The fairest political markets use public and objective sources. Be careful with wording that depends on interpretation or unofficial claims.

Key points

  • Deadlines matter.
  • Polls are not official results.
  • Late news can move the price quickly.

Unique resolution risks for Politics

Distinguish certified results from media calls, and account for recounts, court challenges, deadlines and the exact government or election source.