Weather Polymarket scanner

Weather high-probability Polymarket markets.

Compare weather outcomes trading from 98¢ to 99.5¢ by APR, liquidity, volume and time to resolution. Review the category-specific risks below before trading.

Compare likely outcomes and their trade-offs. No market or displayed return is guaranteed.

31 found

Updated Sep 15, 04:13 AM

Operational

31 markets

Score is an automated rule-quality heuristic, not a recommendation. Methodology

Links open Polymarket ↗ · Some include a referral parameter. Disclosure

Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 15?

Weather - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 1.7K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 15?

Weather - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 15?

Weather - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 2.2K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 15?

Weather - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 4.6K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.52 per $100 - liq 1.4K

OutcomeNo
Price98.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.7K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 15?

Weather - +$1.52 per $100 - liq 1.3K

OutcomeNo
Price98.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.52 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price98.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.52 per $100 - liq 665.9

OutcomeYes
Price98.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.47 per $100 - liq 1.5K

OutcomeNo
Price98.6c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume7K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.42 per $100 - liq 1.5K

OutcomeNo
Price98.6c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.11 per $100 - liq 2K

OutcomeNo
Price98.9c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.01 per $100 - liq 1.6K

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.01 per $100 - liq 599.6

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.5K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.01 per $100 - liq 721.1

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.01 per $100 - liq 963.4

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
89 Good
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 15?

Weather - +$1.01 per $100 - liq 855.1

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.96 per $100 - liq 597.8

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.91 per $100 - liq 2.3K

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.76 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.3c
APR850.7%
Score
80 Good
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.7K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.70 per $100 - liq 1.7K

OutcomeNo
Price99.3c
APR793.6%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.3K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 813.2

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR736.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume3.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.60 per $100 - liq 332.3

OutcomeYes
Price99.4c
APR679.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume11.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.60 per $100 - liq 184.8

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR679.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on September 15?

Weather - +$0.60 per $100 - liq 416.2

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR679.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume4.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.60 per $100 - liq 2.1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR679.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.60 per $100 - liq 1.6K

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR679.5%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 2.6K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR622.6%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.3K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR622.6%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.8K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR622.6%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR622.6%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume1.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 15?

Weather - +$0.50 per $100 - liq 1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR565.7%
Score
67 Watch
Ends7h 46mSep 15, 12:00 PM
Volume2.3K

Weather betting guide

Weather prediction markets

Weather markets are about exact measurements, not just the forecast you see on an app.

Reviewed August 10, 2026

What are Weather markets?

Weather markets cover temperature, rain, snow, wind, hurricanes, storms, air quality, and other measurable weather events for a specific place and time.

How to bet on Weather markets

Compare the market threshold with reliable forecasts, then check the exact source and location. A city market may use one official station rather than a general city average.

Outcome resolution

Weather markets settle from the source named in the rules, often an official agency, weather station, or published measurement.

Fairness

Fairness depends on the location, unit, time zone, and rounding rules. A market near the threshold can be risky even when the forecast looks close.

Key points

  • Check the station or official source.
  • Know the unit and rounding method.
  • Threshold markets can swing late.

Unique resolution risks for Weather

Verify the weather station, measurement period, time zone, units, rounding convention and official data source named in the rules.