Weather Polymarket scanner

Weather high-probability Polymarket markets.

Compare weather outcomes trading from 98¢ to 99.5¢ by APR, liquidity, volume and time to resolution. Review the category-specific risks below before trading.

Compare likely outcomes and their trade-offs. No market or displayed return is guaranteed.

30 found

Updated Oct 30, 10:39 AM

Operational

30 markets

Score is an automated rule-quality heuristic, not a recommendation. Methodology

Links open Polymarket ↗ · Some include a referral parameter. Disclosure

Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?

Weather - +$2.09 per $100 - liq 1.5K

OutcomeYes
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume10.5K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?

Weather - +$2.09 per $100 - liq 1K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 30?

Weather - +$2.04 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price98.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume4.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.78 per $100 - liq 926.8

OutcomeNo
Price98.3c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.3K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.47 per $100 - liq 7.8K

OutcomeYes
Price98.6c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
80 Good
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume6.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 30?

Weather - +$1.47 per $100 - liq 1.4K

OutcomeNo
Price98.6c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.3K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.47 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price98.6c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?

Weather - +$1.32 per $100 - liq 1.6K

OutcomeNo
Price98.7c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.21 per $100 - liq 2.4K

OutcomeNo
Price98.8c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume5.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.21 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price98.8c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 30?

Weather - +$1.21 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price98.8c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?

Weather - +$1.06 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.0c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.96 per $100 - liq 200.3

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.96 per $100 - liq 2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
80 Good
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume6.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 30?

Weather - +$0.96 per $100 - liq 1.6K

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?

Weather - +$0.91 per $100 - liq 1.8K

OutcomeNo
Price99.1c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.3K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C or below on October 30?

Weather - +$0.76 per $100 - liq 1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.3c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 717.1

OutcomeYes
Price99.4c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.5K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 1.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.3K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 2.2K

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume3.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.6K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.9K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.5K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.8K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 1.6K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume1.1K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.50 per $100 - liq 1.1K

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume5K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.50 per $100 - liq 660.3

OutcomeYes
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume5.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 30?

Weather - +$0.50 per $100 - liq 830

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR>1000% 🔥
Score
67 Watch
Ends1h 20mOct 30, 12:00 PM
Volume2.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?

Weather - +$0.65 per $100 - liq 918.3

OutcomeNo
Price99.4c
APR780.8%
Score
61 Watch
Ends7h 20mOct 30, 06:00 PM
Volume1.2K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Weather - +$0.55 per $100 - liq 445.1

OutcomeYes
Price99.5c
APR660.0%
Score
61 Watch
Ends7h 20mOct 30, 06:00 PM
Volume2.4K
Open on Polymarket ↗

Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?

Weather - +$0.50 per $100 - liq 831

OutcomeNo
Price99.5c
APR599.7%
Score
61 Watch
Ends7h 20mOct 30, 06:00 PM
Volume1K

Weather betting guide

Weather prediction markets

Weather markets are about exact measurements, not just the forecast you see on an app.

Reviewed August 10, 2026

What are Weather markets?

Weather markets cover temperature, rain, snow, wind, hurricanes, storms, air quality, and other measurable weather events for a specific place and time.

How to bet on Weather markets

Compare the market threshold with reliable forecasts, then check the exact source and location. A city market may use one official station rather than a general city average.

Outcome resolution

Weather markets settle from the source named in the rules, often an official agency, weather station, or published measurement.

Fairness

Fairness depends on the location, unit, time zone, and rounding rules. A market near the threshold can be risky even when the forecast looks close.

Key points

  • Check the station or official source.
  • Know the unit and rounding method.
  • Threshold markets can swing late.

Unique resolution risks for Weather

Verify the weather station, measurement period, time zone, units, rounding convention and official data source named in the rules.