Weather Polymarket scanner

Weather high-probability Polymarket markets.

Compare weather outcomes trading from 98¢ to 99.5¢ by APR, liquidity, volume and time to resolution. Review the category-specific risks below before trading.

142 found

Updated Jul 15, 10:15 AM

Operational

77 markets

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OutcomePriceScore

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.94 per $100 - liq 2.8K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume3.5K

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.88 per $100 - liq 694

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume2.4K

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.73 per $100 - liq 327.3

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume1.8K

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?

Weather - +$1.68 per $100 - liq 2.4K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume4.2K

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.57 per $100 - liq 2K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume2.4K

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.47 per $100 - liq 2K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume1.8K

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.42 per $100 - liq 2.3K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume7.2K

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?

Weather - +$1.42 per $100 - liq 1K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume7.1K

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.42 per $100 - liq 1.3K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume6.3K

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.32 per $100 - liq 2.1K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume6.8K

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.32 per $100 - liq 1.1K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume2K

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.27 per $100 - liq 2.5K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume6.6K

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.21 per $100 - liq 2.6K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume2K

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.16 per $100 - liq 272.7

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume3.6K

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?

Weather - +$1.16 per $100 - liq 1.3K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume13.7K

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.16 per $100 - liq 1.1K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume1.3K

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?

Weather - +$1.06 per $100 - liq 2K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume2.9K

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 15?

Weather - +$0.96 per $100 - liq 2.5K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume1.9K

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Weather - +$0.91 per $100 - liq 1.8K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume38.9K

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?

Weather - +$0.86 per $100 - liq 2.5K

Ends1h 44mJul 15, 12:00 PM

Volume18.2K

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Weather betting guide

Weather prediction markets

Weather markets are about exact measurements, not just the forecast you see on an app.

Updated July 15, 2026

What are Weather markets?

Weather markets cover temperature, rain, snow, wind, hurricanes, storms, air quality, and other measurable weather events for a specific place and time.

How to bet on Weather markets

Compare the market threshold with reliable forecasts, then check the exact source and location. A city market may use one official station rather than a general city average.

Outcome resolution

Weather markets settle from the source named in the rules, often an official agency, weather station, or published measurement.

Fairness

Fairness depends on the location, unit, time zone, and rounding rules. A market near the threshold can be risky even when the forecast looks close.

Key points

Check the station or official source.
Know the unit and rounding method.
Threshold markets can swing late.

Unique resolution risks for Weather

Verify the weather station, measurement period, time zone, units, rounding convention and official data source named in the rules.